{"id":25899,"date":"2020-06-23T12:42:57","date_gmt":"2020-06-23T00:42:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/propertynoise.co.nz\/au\/?p=25899"},"modified":"2020-06-23T12:42:57","modified_gmt":"2020-06-23T00:42:57","slug":"new-zealand-house-prices-to-fall-anz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/propertynoise.co.nz\/au\/new-zealand-house-prices-to-fall-anz\/","title":{"rendered":"New Zealand house prices to fall | ANZ"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>PHOTO: ANZ Property Focus<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>We have nudged up our house price forecasts on the back of a slightly better economic outlook and lower mortgage rates, but only slightly. We expect that<br \/>\nhouse prices will fall 12% (only a little above our previous forecast of 13\u00bd%), but risks are now considered more balanced.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class=\"entry-featured-img-wrap\"><a class=\"entry-featured-img-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.propertynoise.co.nz\/biggs-divorce-case-starts-husband-accused-of-dragging-the-chain-on-700k-payout\/\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"attachment-hoot-medium-thumb entry-content-featured-img entry-grid-featured-img wp-post-image jetpack-lazy-image jetpack-lazy-image--handled\" src=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/www.propertynoise.co.nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Sophie-and-Stephen-Tim-Biggs.jpg?resize=460%2C270&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"(max-width: 460px) 100vw, 460px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/www.propertynoise.co.nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Sophie-and-Stephen-Tim-Biggs.jpg?resize=460%2C270&amp;ssl=1 460w, https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/www.propertynoise.co.nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Sophie-and-Stephen-Tim-Biggs.jpg?zoom=2&amp;resize=460%2C270&amp;ssl=1 920w\" alt=\"Biggs divorce\" width=\"460\" height=\"270\" data-attachment-id=\"72751\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.propertynoise.co.nz\/biggs-divorce-case-starts-husband-accused-of-dragging-the-chain-on-700k-payout\/sophie-and-stephen-tim-biggs\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/www.propertynoise.co.nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Sophie-and-Stephen-Tim-Biggs.jpg?fit=1240%2C696&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1240,696\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Sophie and Stephen (Tim) Biggs\" data-image-description=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/www.propertynoise.co.nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Sophie-and-Stephen-Tim-Biggs.jpg?fit=300%2C168&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/www.propertynoise.co.nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Sophie-and-Stephen-Tim-Biggs.jpg?fit=1024%2C575&amp;ssl=1\" data-lazy-loaded=\"1\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"entry-grid-content\">\n<header class=\"entry-header\">\n<h2 class=\"entry-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.propertynoise.co.nz\/biggs-divorce-case-starts-husband-accused-of-dragging-the-chain-on-700k-payout\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">Biggs divorce case starts, husband accused of \u2018dragging the chain\u2019 on $700k payout<\/a><\/h2>\n<\/header>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.propertynoise.co.nz\/new-zealand-house-prices-could-potentially-drop-worse-than-9-reserve-bank\/\">House prices<\/a> often fall in economic downturns, especially in real terms (that is, adjusted for how much other prices have increased). This downturn is<br \/>\nexpected to be no different, though we\u2019d discount the impact of the initial fall in GDP due to the lockdown, as this reflects imposed constraints on activity rather<br \/>\nthan individual economic choices.<\/p>\n<p>Both people\u2019s willingness and ability to pay for houses will be affected by the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.propertynoise.co.nz\/bnz-braces-for-downturn\/\">economic downturn<\/a>. Firm revenue and household income expectations will be<br \/>\nlower, while unemployment and business failure rates are expected to increase. Some homeowners will experience job losses and financial distress.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Uncertainty is huge, and households and firms are expected to be cautious, including when it comes to taking on debt.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>READ MORE VIA<a href=\"https:\/\/www.anz.co.nz\/content\/dam\/anzconz\/documents\/economics-and-market-research\/2020\/ANZ-PropertyFocus-20200618.pdf\"> ANZ<\/a><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"widget-title\"><span class=\"accent-typo\">MOST POPULAR<\/span><\/h3>\n<ul class=\"widgets-list-layout no-grav\">\n<li><a class=\"bump-view\" title=\"How low will prices actually fall?\" href=\"https:\/\/propertynoise.co.nz\/au\/how-low-will-prices-actually-fall\/\" data-bump-view=\"tp\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"widgets-list-layout-blavatar lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/www.propertynoise.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/mortgage-holders-could-find-themselves-at-financial-risk-if-property-prices-drop-or-they-are-forced-to-sell.jpg?fit=650%2C366&amp;ssl=1&amp;resize=40%2C40\" alt=\"How low will prices actually fall?\" width=\"40\" height=\"40\" data-pin-nopin=\"true\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 40px; 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&rarr;<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":25900,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[461747081],"tags":[478110125,478108952,478098562,478098542,478098519,478098535,478110124,478108898,478110126,478106988,478098513,478101743,478099125,478098873,478098579,478098510,478098514,478098511,478098705,478098533,478098509],"class_list":["entry","author-data123nz","post-25899","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-australian-property-real-estate-news","tag-anz-property-focus","tag-covid-19","tag-foreign-buyers","tag-home-loans","tag-home-ownership","tag-house-prices","tag-new-zealand-house-prices","tag-nz-house-prices","tag-nz-housing-market","tag-nz-property","tag-property","tag-property-correction","tag-property-crash","tag-property-investment","tag-property-market","tag-property-news","tag-propertynoise","tag-real-estate","tag-real-estate-agency","tag-real-estate-agent","tag-real-estate-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>New Zealand house prices to fall | ANZ - Property News Australia<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/propertynoise.co.nz\/au\/new-zealand-house-prices-to-fall-anz\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"New Zealand house prices to fall | ANZ - Property News Australia\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"PHOTO: ANZ Property Focus We have nudged up our houseRead More &rarr;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/propertynoise.co.nz\/au\/new-zealand-house-prices-to-fall-anz\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Property News Australia\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" 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