{"id":27489,"date":"2020-09-11T12:35:47","date_gmt":"2020-09-11T00:35:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/propertynoise.co.nz\/au\/?p=27489"},"modified":"2020-09-11T12:35:47","modified_gmt":"2020-09-11T00:35:47","slug":"house-prices-expected-to-rebound-in-july-2021-except-in-melbourne","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/propertynoise.co.nz\/au\/house-prices-expected-to-rebound-in-july-2021-except-in-melbourne\/","title":{"rendered":"House prices expected to rebound in July 2021 \u2013 except in Melbourne"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>PHOTO: Australia&#8217;s property prices are expected to rise again mid-next year.\u00a0<em>(Photo by David Gray\/Getty Images)<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm\" data-reactid=\"32\">Economists from the Commonwealth Bank of Australia are feeling more positive about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?client=internal-element-cse&amp;cx=007736748303843525207:i95wheizs-a&amp;q=https:\/\/propertynoise.co.nz\/au\/property-market-slowdown-expected-to-continue-as-wage-subsidy-mortgage-relief-packages-end-new-zealand\/&amp;sa=U&amp;ved=2ahUKEwi74ffi7d_rAhV-8HMBHVFTBAAQFjAAegQIBRAC&amp;usg=AOvVaw1Rbk8wB2Fzm1u-N5EHLNUi\">Australia\u2019s property market<\/a> and are now predicting a \u201csolid recovery\u201d in the second half of 2021.<\/p>\n<p class=\"canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm\" data-reactid=\"33\">Former CBA forecasts from April predicted house prices would fall 10 per cent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm\" data-reactid=\"34\">But this figure has been revised upwards in light of the modest fall in home values so far despite the \u201cextraordinary negative economic shock\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm\" style=\"margin: 0px 0px 1em; color: #000000; font-family: 'Yahoo Sans Finance', 'Helvetica Neue', Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\" data-reactid=\"35\">According to CBA head of Australian economics Gareth Aird, two key themes stand out: the fall in house prices has been much smaller than expected, while the\u00a0variation between the capital cities has been greater than expected.<\/p>\n<p class=\"canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm\" style=\"margin: 0px 0px 1em; color: #000000; font-family: 'Yahoo Sans Finance', 'Helvetica Neue', Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\" data-reactid=\"36\">\u201cParking the Melbourne issues to one side, what has genuinely surprised us is the resilience of house prices in some of the other capital cities considering the negative shock to labour markets around the country,\u201d Aird said in a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.commbankresearch.com.au\/apex\/ResearchArticleViewV2?id=a0N0e000006Pt89EAC&amp;un=gareth.aird@cba.com.au&amp;tk=YTBOMGUwMDAwMDZQdDg5RUFDOmdhcmV0aC5haXJkQGNiYS5jb20uYXU=\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">research note<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm\" data-reactid=\"37\">While house prices are expected to continue to soften, the CBA economists now expect a peak-to-trough fall of 6 per cent rather than 10 per cent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm\" data-reactid=\"38\">And this trough is now expected to hit the first quarter of 2021, rather than the end of 2020 as previously anticipated. House prices will plateau between March and June of 2021, and then begin rising from July.<\/p>\n<p class=\"canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm\" data-reactid=\"39\">\u201cOur forecast is for solid price growth in the second half of 2021 as the economic recovery gains traction and incredibly low interest rates once again become the dominant influence on dwelling prices.<\/p>\n<p class=\"canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm\" data-reactid=\"40\">\u201cWe expect a much larger disparity between outcomes by capital city than initially forecast,\u201d Aird added.<\/p>\n<p data-reactid=\"40\">READ MORE VIA<a href=\"https:\/\/au.finance.yahoo.com\/news\/property-rebound-2021-cba-020819058.html\"> YAHOO<\/a><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"widget-title\"><span class=\"accent-typo\">MOST POPULAR<\/span><\/h3>\n<ul class=\"widgets-list-layout no-grav\">\n<li><a class=\"bump-view\" title=\"How agents are turning social media into commission\" href=\"https:\/\/propertynoise.co.nz\/au\/how-agents-are-turning-social-media-into-commission\/\" data-bump-view=\"tp\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"widgets-list-layout-blavatar lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/www.propertynoise.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Untitled-design-2.png?fit=810%2C450&amp;ssl=1&amp;resize=40%2C40\" alt=\"How agents are turning social media into commission\" width=\"40\" height=\"40\" data-pin-nopin=\"true\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 40px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 40\/40;\" \/><\/a>\n<div class=\"widgets-list-layout-links\"><a class=\"bump-view\" title=\"How agents are turning social media into commission\" href=\"https:\/\/propertynoise.co.nz\/au\/how-agents-are-turning-social-media-into-commission\/\" data-bump-view=\"tp\">How agents are turning social media into commission<\/a><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li><a class=\"bump-view\" title=\"'She treated us like we were nothing.' 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debt<\/a><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>PHOTO: Australia&#8217;s property prices are expected to rise again mid-next<span class=\"more-link\"><a href=\"https:\/\/propertynoise.co.nz\/au\/house-prices-expected-to-rebound-in-july-2021-except-in-melbourne\/\">Read More &rarr;<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":27490,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[461747081],"tags":[478098730,478098512,478111349,478098521,478105117,478106130,478098892,478098566,478098562,478106351,478098542,478098519,478098535,478098522,478098537,478108856,478098543,478098556,478098539,478098513,478101743,478099125,478098873,478098579,478098510,478098514,478098511,478098705,478098533,478098509,478098536,478098618,478098677,478098724],"class_list":["entry","author-data123nz","post-27489","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-australian-property-real-estate-news","tag-auctions","tag-australia","tag-australias-property-prices","tag-australians","tag-cba","tag-commonwealth-bank-of-australia","tag-corelogic","tag-first-home-buyers","tag-foreign-buyers","tag-gareth-aird","tag-home-loans","tag-home-ownership","tag-house-prices","tag-interest-rates","tag-melbourne","tag-melbourne-property-market","tag-mortgages","tag-nsw","tag-perth","tag-property","tag-property-correction","tag-property-crash","tag-property-investment","tag-property-market","tag-property-news","tag-propertynoise","tag-real-estate","tag-real-estate-agency","tag-real-estate-agent","tag-real-estate-news","tag-sydney","tag-sydney-property","tag-victoria","tag-wa"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>House prices expected to rebound in July 2021 \u2013 except in Melbourne - Property News Australia<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/propertynoise.co.nz\/au\/house-prices-expected-to-rebound-in-july-2021-except-in-melbourne\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"House prices expected to rebound in July 2021 \u2013 except in Melbourne - Property News Australia\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"PHOTO: Australia&#8217;s property prices are expected to rise again mid-nextRead More &rarr;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" 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