{"id":31780,"date":"2021-04-18T10:09:40","date_gmt":"2021-04-17T22:09:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/propertynoise.co.nz\/au\/?p=31780"},"modified":"2021-04-18T10:09:40","modified_gmt":"2021-04-17T22:09:40","slug":"house-prices-to-grow-by-25-over-3-years","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/propertynoise.co.nz\/au\/house-prices-to-grow-by-25-over-3-years\/","title":{"rendered":"House prices to grow by 25% over 3 years"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>PHOTO: Australian house prices<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>New research is predicting a large gain in property prices of around 25 per cent through to the end of 2023, driven mainly by low interest rates.<\/p>\n<p>Using the <a href=\"https:\/\/propertynoise.co.nz\/au\/?s=Reserve+Bank+of+Australia&amp;submit=Search\">Reserve Bank of Australia<\/a>\u2019s model of the housing market, Coolabah Capital Investments (CCI) is predicting substantial property price growth through to the end of 2023, as well as similar gains in real residential investment.<\/p>\n<p>The forecast, based on the model developed by RBA\u2019s economists, Peter Tulip and Trend Saunders, foresees house prices growth of 8 per cent over 2021, including an additional 9 per cent in 2022, before a final spike of 8 per cent in 2023.<\/p>\n<p>This takes the cumulative growth through to end-2023 up to 25 per cent.<\/p>\n<p>But while a similar growth trajectory is expected across residential investment, with CCI predicting a 26 per cent lift over three years, rents are tipped to drop by 2 per cent through to end-2023, as vacancy rates peak.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe ranges are large, but not surprising considering that house prices and rents are volatile. For example, the standard deviation of annual growth in house prices over recent decades is nearly 7.5pp, while the standard deviation of growth in rents is almost 3.5pp,\u201d Kieran Davies, chief macro strategist at CCI, explained.<\/p>\n<p>According to CCI\u2019s modelling, in real terms, national house prices are currently up about 6 per cent from prior to the pandemic, which contrasts with past recessions where the median peak-to-trough decline has been 15 per cent.<\/p>\n<p>READ MORE VIA <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realestatebusiness.com.au\/breaking-news\/21348-house-prices-to-grow-by-25-over-3-years\">REB<\/a><\/p>\n<section id=\"top-posts-2\" class=\"widget widget_top-posts\">\n<h3 class=\"widget-title\"><span class=\"accent-typo\">MOST POPULAR<\/span><\/h3>\n<ul class=\"widgets-list-layout no-grav\">\n<li><a class=\"bump-view\" title=\"At home with Seven News reporter Elspeth Hussey\" href=\"https:\/\/propertynoise.co.nz\/au\/at-home-with-seven-news-reporter-elspeth-hussey\/\" 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