Vanessa Williams

PHOTO: Vanessa Williams, spokesperson for realestate.co.nz

  • The national average asking price gently ticks downward, now $919,394
  • Total housing stock is up nationally and in all 19 regions
  • PLUS: Central Otago/Lakes District becomes the first region to hit a $1.5m average asking price, a 15-year record

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After reporting rising housing stock levels, buyers’ markets in major centres and downward trending asking prices since the property market’s peak in January 2022, new data from realestate.co.nz suggests the changing market may have spooked some potential vendors this October.

When compared to October 2021, new listings on realestate.co.nz were down nationally and in 14 of New Zealand’s 19 regions.

Vanessa Williams, spokesperson for realestate.co.nz, says it is noteworthy to see such a drop in new listings when you consider that much of the country was in and out of COVID-19 lockdowns this time last year.

“Year on year, -16.3% fewer new listings came onto our site during October, suggesting that property owners shied away from putting their homes on the market in October, which is usually a major month for residential listings,” says Vanessa.

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“Uncertainty has an impact on the property market. Last year the pandemic was impacting buying and selling. Now the uncertainty has shifted to the cost of living and inflation, as well as rising interest rates. This might be driving vendors to sit tight as we navigate this changing landscape.”

The biggest drops in new listing numbers were seen in Central Otago/Lakes District (190, down -35.2%), Wairarapa (97, down -33.1%) and Gisborne (50, down -30.6%). Bucking the trend, however, with double-digit growth in new listings, were Coromandel (132, up 38.9%), Nelson & Bays (186, up 17.7%), Waikato (797, up 13.7%), %), and Marlborough (126, up 13.5%).

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National asking price gently ticks downward; the regions tell a different story  

Cooling asking prices in major centres has driven the national average asking price downward since its peak in January 2022.

Wellington saw the largest month-on-month decrease, dipping -7.7% to $891,375, followed by Auckland (down -6.2% to $1,159,906), Wairarapa (down -5.6% to $767,961) and the Coromandel (down -2.9% to $1,074,809).

Vanessa suggests this is still a good time to be a seller.

In October, users to realestate.co.nz increased by 11.7% month-on-month, and page views also increased.

“When prices ease, it reignites hesitant buyers back into the market—from all different segments. Anecdotally we have heard of many first-home buyers coming back into the market, along with investors,” said Vanessa.

Market sentiment - realestate.co.nz - October 2022

“But prices are a mixed bag across Aotearoa; not all regions are softening.”

In fact, there were still five regions with double-digit year-on-year price growth—the West Coast (up 22.0% to $463,184), Northland (up 16.8% to $917,761), Marlborough (up 15.1% $805,240), Taranaki (up 12.5% to $675,330), and Canterbury (up 10.4% to $712,171).

“Despite the cooling average asking prices in our major centres, 13 regions still bucked the trend, five of which showed double-digit year-on-year growth. And we did have one very notable anomaly…”

 

Central Otago/Lakes becomes the first region to hit a $1.5m average asking price

For the first time in New Zealand’s history, one of its regions hit an average asking price of over $1.5 million, allowing for seasonal adjustment—a 15-year record high.

“A home near the Remarkables is now priced, on average, at $1,541,082, up 8.3% year-on-year—now about $400,000 dearer than a home in Auckland,” says Vanessa.

“It’s fascinating that, despite the shifting market and challenges we’ve faced in the economy, there are still pockets around the country where property is still at a premium. We’ll certainly be keeping an eye on Central Otago/Lakes in the months ahead.”

New listings - realestate.co.nz - October 2022

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